GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/21/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa AnaWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Quepos CambuteSanta Ana
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
57.3Power80.3
1.48xG1.32
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