GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/2/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteDWDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal GreciaDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Quepos CambuteMunicipal Grecia
66.7Attack58.3
66.7Defence28.1
50.0Form42.7
57.3Power44.0
2.54xG1.44
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