GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/16/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteWWWLD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo UpalaWLDDL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Quepos CambuteDeportivo Upala
66.7Attack62.5
66.7Defence22.9
50.0Form31.3
57.3Power38.5
2.77xG1.51
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