GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/20/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Antioquia are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteWWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
AntioquiaWWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Quepos CambuteAntioquia
66.7Attack55.2
66.7Defence36.5
50.0Form40.6
57.3Power44.1
2.25xG1.36
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