GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/10/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Quepos CambuteAD Sarchí
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
57.3Power80.3
1.50xG1.41
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