GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/22/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Quepos CambuteAD Carmelita
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
57.3Power45.3
1.81xG1.25
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