GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/1/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Quepos Cambute are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quepos CambuteLLWDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Quepos CambuteAD Carmelita
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
57.3Power45.3
1.81xG1.25
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