Queen's Parkvs
Morton
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queen's Park · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen's Park 2-1 Morton
Original prediction
Queen's Park
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.3% | 38.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.7% | 29.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.9% | 32.1% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Queen's Park
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Queen's Park has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40