Queen's Parkvs
Ayr Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/18/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Queen's Park 0-0 Ayr Utd, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen's Park 0-2 Ayr Utd
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.5% | 33.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 30.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.4% | 36.7% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Queen's Park 0–0 Ayr Utd
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Queen's ParkLWDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ayr UtdLLDLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Queen's ParkAyr Utd
16.7Attack27.8
50.0Defence55.6
22.2Form27.8
33.2Power39.2
0.94xG0.93