GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Queen's Park are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Arbroath are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arbroath hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Queen's ParkWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArbroathLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Queen's ParkArbroath
16.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form16.7
21.5Power31.3
1.07xG1.12
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