Queens Park Rangers U21vs
Fleetwood Town U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queens Park Rangers U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queens Park Rangers U21 4-1 Fleetwood Town U21
Original prediction
Queens Park Rangers U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.1% | 38.2% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.7% | 23.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 37.9% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Queens Park Rangers U21
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Queens Park Rangers U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80