Queens Park Rangers U21vs
Coventry City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coventry City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queens Park Rangers U21 1-5 Coventry City U21
Original prediction
Coventry City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.0% | 36.8% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.8% | 25.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Coventry City U21
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Coventry City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20