Queens Park Rangers U21vs
Cardiff City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-4 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queens Park Rangers U21 1-1 Cardiff City U21
Original prediction
Cardiff City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.3% | 26.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 24.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.7% | 48.9% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff City U21
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Cardiff City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20