Queens Park Rangers U21vs
Bristol City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queens Park Rangers U21 3-1 Bristol City U21
Original prediction
Bristol City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.9% | 21.4% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.1% | 17.5% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.0% | 61.1% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–47%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City U21
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Bristol City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20