Queen of the Southvs
Ross County
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-4 (14%), 0-3 (14%), 0-5 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen of the South 1-7 Ross County
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.87 | 10.3% | 5.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.60 | 16.3% | 9.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.24 | 73.4% | 84.8% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–414%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–511%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
84.8%
Model confidence
84.8%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 30 · GA 3 · avg 6.00/0.60