Queen of the Southvs
Motherwell
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Queen of the South are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Motherwell are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the League Cup, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motherwell
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80