Queen of the Southvs
East Fife
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen of the South 1-1 East Fife
Original prediction
East Fife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.4% | 29.3% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.2% | 42.6% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60