Queen of the Southvs
Cove Rangers
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cove Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen of the South 4-3 Cove Rangers
Original prediction
Cove Rangers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.4% | 28.3% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.2% | 26.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.4% | 45.0% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Cove Rangers
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Cove Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20