GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Queen of the South are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Annan Athletic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Annan Athletic hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the League One, while Annan Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Annan Athletic

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Queen of the SouthWLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Annan AthleticWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Queen of the SouthAnnan Athletic
16.7Attack50.9
0.0Defence37.0
0.0Form36.1
11.2Power43.3
1.62xG1.67
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