Queen of the Southvs
Alloa Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Queen of the South are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alloa Athletic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alloa Athletic hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the League One, while Alloa Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alloa Athletic
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80