Queen of the Southvs
Airdrie United
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Airdrie United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queen of the South 2-1 Airdrie United
Original prediction
Airdrie United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.6% | 35.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.6% | 27.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.8% | 37.0% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Airdrie United
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Airdrie United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20