GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/30/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quanzhou Yassin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Quanzhou Yassin are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Yanbian Longding are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Quanzhou Yassin hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the FA Cup, while Quanzhou Yassin holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quanzhou Yassin

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Quanzhou Yassin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quanzhou YassinLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yanbian LongdingLWWDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Quanzhou YassinYanbian Longding
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power23.7
1.41xG1.17
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