Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Qiziriq are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Shortan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 42.5-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
16.5%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00