Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gazalkent · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-3 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qiziriq 1-4 Gazalkent
Original prediction
Gazalkent
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.50 | 9.5% | 6.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.0% | 14.2% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.5% | 79.1% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Gazalkent
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Gazalkent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QiziriqLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
GazalkentWDDLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
QiziriqGazalkent
19.3Attack56.1
22.8Defence61.4
7.0Form50.9
21.0Power55.6
0.58xG2.63