Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qizilqum · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qizilqum 0-0 Surkhon, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qizilqum 0-0 Surkhon
Original prediction
Qizilqum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.7% | 39.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.1% | 31.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.3% | 28.7% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Qizilqum 0–0 Surkhon
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Qizilqum
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Qizilqum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QizilqumWLWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SurkhonWLWLD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
QizilqumSurkhon
34.8Attack28.8
54.5Defence57.6
43.9Form39.4
46.0Power44.6
0.95xG0.71