Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nasaf · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qizilqum 0-0 Nasaf, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qizilqum 1-0 Nasaf
Original prediction
Nasaf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 24.0% | 22.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 30.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Qizilqum 0–0 Nasaf
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Nasaf
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Nasaf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QizilqumLWLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
NasafLLDWW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
QizilqumNasaf
29.6Attack37.0
51.9Defence68.5
37.0Form46.3
41.2Power53.0
0.58xG1.00