Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qizilqum 0-1 Buxoro, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qizilqum 3-2 Buxoro
Original prediction
Buxoro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.1% | 23.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.5% | 28.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.4% | 48.0% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Projected Score
Qizilqum 0–1 Buxoro
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QizilqumWLWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BuxoroDWWDW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
QizilqumBuxoro
29.8Attack49.1
54.4Defence64.9
40.4Form59.6
43.2Power59.7
0.64xG1.28