Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Qizilqum are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Buxoro are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Super League, while Buxoro holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50