Qingdao Youth Islandvs
Yunnan Yukun
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qingdao Youth Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 Yunnan Yukun
Original prediction
Qingdao Youth Island
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.3% | 38.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.9% | 25.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.9% | 36.5% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Qingdao Youth Island
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Qingdao Youth Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80