GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/21/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qingdao Youth Island · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Youth Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Youth Island hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Super League, while Qingdao Youth Island holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Qingdao Youth Island

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Qingdao Youth Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Youth IslandLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sichuan JiuniuWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao Youth IslandSichuan Jiuniu
37.7Attack45.5
58.0Defence37.9
47.8Form34.8
50.1Power41.0
1.56xG1.03
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