GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qingdao Youth Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Youth Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Youth Island hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Super League, while Qingdao Youth Island holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Qingdao Youth Island

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Qingdao Youth Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Youth IslandLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shenyang UrbanWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Qingdao Youth IslandShenyang Urban
37.7Attack44.4
58.0Defence47.6
47.8Form38.1
50.1Power44.0
1.31xG1.01
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