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Saturday, 4 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island

Home
W
21
Full time
SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG

Away
DL
Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Qingdao Youth Island(48%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Qingdao Youth Island
Win probability
Qingdao Youth Island
48%
Draw
22%
SHANGHAI SIPG
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Qingdao Youth Island
73
SHANGHAI SIPG
54
Defence
Qingdao Youth Island
66
SHANGHAI SIPG
27
Momentum
Qingdao Youth Island
100
SHANGHAI SIPG
17
Danger (xG)
Qingdao Youth Island
1.80
SHANGHAI SIPG
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Qingdao Youth Island)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (SHANGHAI SIPG)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Qingdao Youth Island)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (SHANGHAI SIPG)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island
WWW
SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
DLWD

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Qingdao Youth Island48%
Draw22%
SHANGHAI SIPG29%

Qingdao Youth Island leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Qingdao Youth Island head into this in Super League fixture at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center in mixed form (W), while SHANGHAI SIPG arrive in mixed form (DL). Qingdao Youth Island have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for SHANGHAI SIPG over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Qingdao Youth Island's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable SHANGHAI SIPG defence (27/100), while SHANGHAI SIPG's attack is up against a solid Qingdao Youth Island backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Qingdao Youth Island's favour.

Qingdao Youth Island have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. SHANGHAI SIPG have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Qingdao Youth Island have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Qingdao Youth Island to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Qingdao Youth Island 4840%, Draw 2220%, SHANGHAI SIPG 2930%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Qingdao Youth Island 1Draws 00 SHANGHAI SIPG
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
4 Jul 2026
Qingdao Youth Island
W21
SHANGHAI SIPG

Recent form

Qingdao Youth Island

Qingdao Youth Island

W
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
4 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Hangzhou Greentown
28 Jun 2026
31
W
@ Dalian Zhixing
15 May 2026
32
SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG

D
@ Yunnan Yukun
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Qingdao Youth Island
4 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Henan Jianye
27 Jun 2026
21
D
vs Hangzhou Greentown
15 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

GoalVio's model predicts Qingdao Youth Island to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more