GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Youth Island are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Youth IslandWDWDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ShenhuaLDLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Qingdao Youth IslandShanghai Shenhua
37.7Attack60.3
58.0Defence46.0
47.8Form50.8
50.1Power53.6
1.31xG1.41
View match centre →