Qingdao Youth Islandvs
Dalian Zhixing
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qingdao Youth Island · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Youth Island 0-4 Dalian Zhixing
Original prediction
Qingdao Youth Island
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.6% | 40.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 28.1% | 27.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.3% | 32.1% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Qingdao Youth Island
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Qingdao Youth Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60