GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Qingdao Youth Island are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

13.9%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Youth IslandWDDDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
Beijing GuoanWDWDL

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Qingdao Youth IslandBeijing Guoan
37.7Attack60.3
58.0Defence57.1
47.8Form54.0
50.1Power58.1
1.03xG1.43
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