Qingdao Red Lionsvs
Xiamen Feilu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qingdao Red Lions 0-0 Xiamen Feilu, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Xiamen Feilu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.8% | 35.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.1% | 32.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.1% | 32.0% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Qingdao Red Lions 0–0 Xiamen Feilu
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Qingdao Red LionsLDWDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Xiamen FeiluLWDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao Red LionsXiamen Feilu
33.3Attack43.9
69.7Defence57.6
37.9Form43.9
48.2Power50.0
0.90xG0.73