Qingdao Red Lionsvs
Wuhan Three Towns II
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qingdao Red Lions 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns II, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Red Lions 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.6% | 38.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.8% | 27.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Qingdao Red Lions 0–0 Wuhan Three Towns II
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40