GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Qingdao Red Lions are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tai'an Tiankuang are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tai'an Tiankuang hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.1% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

28.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Red LionsLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tai'an TiankuangDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Red LionsTai'an Tiankuang
35.0Attack36.5
71.7Defence66.7
40.0Form47.6
49.9Power53.0
0.74xG0.57
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