Qingdao Red Lionsvs
Shangyu Pterosaur
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qingdao Red Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qingdao Red Lions 0-0 Shangyu Pterosaur, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Shangyu Pterosaur
Original prediction
Qingdao Red Lions
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.3% | 46.6% | -22.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.9% | 29.8% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 9.19 | 9.8% | 23.6% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.7 pts
Projected Score
Qingdao Red Lions 0–0 Shangyu Pterosaur
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Qingdao Red Lions
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Qingdao Red Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40