Qingdao Red Lionsvs
Nanjing City
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 5/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qingdao Red Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Qingdao Red Lions are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nanjing City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Red Lions hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the FA Cup, while Qingdao Red Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Qingdao Red Lions
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Qingdao Red Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00