GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 3/22/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qingdao Red Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Qingdao Red Lions are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Changchun Xidu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Red Lions hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the League Two, while Qingdao Red Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Qingdao Red Lions

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Qingdao Red Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao Red LionsLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun XiduLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Red LionsChangchun Xidu
35.0Attack20.6
71.7Defence57.1
40.0Form27.0
49.9Power37.7
1.00xG0.36
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