Super LeagueSuper League
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon

Home
LLD
42
Full time
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

Away
DLW
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Qingdao Jonoon(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Qingdao Jonoon
Win probability
Qingdao Jonoon
44%
Draw
25%
Yunnan Yukun
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Qingdao Jonoon
47
Yunnan Yukun
83
Defence
Qingdao Jonoon
6
Yunnan Yukun
17
Momentum
Qingdao Jonoon
11
Yunnan Yukun
44
Danger (xG)
Qingdao Jonoon
0.30
Yunnan Yukun
2.10
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Qingdao Jonoon)
0.30
avg per match
xG for (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Qingdao Jonoon)
0.30
avg per match
xG against (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
LLDWL
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
DLWLW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Qingdao Jonoon44%
Draw25%
Yunnan Yukun31%

Qingdao Jonoon leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Qingdao Jonoon head into this in Super League fixture at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium in mixed form (LLD), while Yunnan Yukun arrive in mixed form (DLW). Qingdao Jonoon have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 33% for Yunnan Yukun over 3 games.

The model rates Qingdao Jonoon's attack at 47/100 against a 17/100 Yunnan Yukun defence, and Yunnan Yukun's attack at 83/100 against a 6/100 Qingdao Jonoon backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Qingdao Jonoon have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Yunnan Yukun have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 2.5 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per away game.

Qingdao Jonoon have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches.

Qingdao Jonoon have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Qingdao Jonoon to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Qingdao Jonoon 4365%, Draw 2535%, Yunnan Yukun 3100%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Qingdao Jonoon 1Draws 00 Yunnan Yukun
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
26 Jun 2026
Qingdao Jonoon
W42
Yunnan Yukun

Recent form

Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon

L
@ Henan Jianye
17 Jul 2026
15
xG 0.0
L
@ Hangzhou Greentown
14 Jul 2026
23
xG 0.0
D
vs Chengdu Better City
5 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Yunnan Yukun
26 Jun 2026
42
L
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
24 May 2026
01
xG 0.0
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

D
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Shandong Luneng
10 Jul 2026
34
W
vs Henan Jianye
3 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Qingdao Jonoon
26 Jun 2026
24
W
vs Shanghai Shenhua
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun?

GoalVio's model predicts Qingdao Jonoon to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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