Qingdao Jonoonvs
Wuhan Three Towns
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuhan Three Towns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 Wuhan Three Towns
Original prediction
Wuhan Three Towns
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.9% | 38.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.5% | 22.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 38.5% | 38.6% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wuhan Three Towns
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Wuhan Three Towns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20