Qingdao Jonoonvs
Shenyang Urban
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/17/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenyang Urban · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qingdao Jonoon 0-4 Shenyang Urban
Original prediction
Shenyang Urban
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.05 | 13.3% | 31.4% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.02 | 18.7% | 20.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 68.0% | 47.8% | -20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Shenyang Urban
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Shenyang Urban has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60