GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Jonoon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao JonoonWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SHANGHAI SIPGWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao JonoonSHANGHAI SIPG
44.9Attack54.5
36.2Defence53.0
30.4Form45.5
38.9Power52.3
1.32xG2.00
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