GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/4/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Henan Jianye · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qingdao Jonoon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Henan Jianye are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Henan Jianye hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Super League, while Henan Jianye holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Henan Jianye

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao JonoonLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Henan JianyeDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao JonoonHenan Jianye
44.9Attack40.9
36.2Defence56.1
30.4Form43.9
38.9Power48.2
1.25xG1.49
View match centre →