Super LeagueSuper League
Sunday, 5 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon

Home
LLD
11
Full time
Chengdu Better City

Chengdu Better City

Away
DD
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Qingdao Jonoon(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Qingdao Jonoon
40%
Draw
26%
Chengdu Better City
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Qingdao Jonoon
47
Chengdu Better City
34
Defence
Qingdao Jonoon
6
Chengdu Better City
66
Momentum
Qingdao Jonoon
11
Chengdu Better City
33
Danger (xG)
Qingdao Jonoon
0.30
Chengdu Better City
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Qingdao Jonoon)
0.30
avg per match
xG for (Chengdu Better City)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Qingdao Jonoon)
0.30
avg per match
xG against (Chengdu Better City)
0.79
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon
LLDWL
Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City
DDWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Qingdao Jonoon40%
Draw26%
Chengdu Better City33%

Qingdao Jonoon leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Qingdao Jonoon head into this in Super League fixture at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium in mixed form (LLD), while Chengdu Better City arrive in mixed form (DD). Qingdao Jonoon have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Chengdu Better City over 2 games.

Tactically, Chengdu Better City hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Qingdao Jonoon defence (6/100), while Qingdao Jonoon's attack faces a solid Chengdu Better City backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Qingdao Jonoon have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Chengdu Better City have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Qingdao Jonoon have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches. Chengdu Better City have generated 2.11 xG per game recently while conceding 0.67 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Qingdao Jonoon to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Qingdao Jonoon 4027%, Draw 2630%, Chengdu Better City 3343%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Qingdao Jonoon 0Draws 10 Chengdu Better City
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
5 Jul 2026
Qingdao Jonoon
D11
Chengdu Better City

Recent form

Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon

L
@ Henan Jianye
17 Jul 2026
15
xG 0.0
L
@ Hangzhou Greentown
14 Jul 2026
23
xG 0.0
D
vs Chengdu Better City
5 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Yunnan Yukun
26 Jun 2026
42
L
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
24 May 2026
01
xG 0.0
Chengdu Better City

Chengdu Better City

D
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
11 Jul 2026
11
xG 2.1
D
@ Qingdao Jonoon
5 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
27 Jun 2026
32
W
@ Tianjin Teda
15 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City?

GoalVio's model predicts Qingdao Jonoon to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more