GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/25/2023, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Qingdao Jonoon are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qingdao JonoonDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Beijing GuoanDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Qingdao JonoonBeijing Guoan
44.9Attack60.3
36.2Defence57.1
30.4Form54.0
38.9Power58.1
1.18xG2.25
View match centre →