GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 10/9/2026, 2:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Qatar SC 0-3 Al-Rayyan SC

Original prediction

Al-Rayyan SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.3517.0%23.8%6.8 pts
Draw4.3620.8%24.8%4.0 pts
Away1.4662.2%51.4%-10.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Al-Rayyan SC

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qatar SCWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Rayyan SCDDWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Qatar SCAl-Rayyan SC
33.3Attack58.3
25.0Defence83.3
16.7Form83.3
28.0Power76.6
1.14xG2.20
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