GGOALVIO

Qatar · QSL Cup · 10/1/2026, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qatar SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Qatar SC 1-0 Al Bidda SC

Original prediction

Qatar SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6156.5%48.2%-8.3 pts
Draw4.1621.9%25.4%3.5 pts
Away4.2121.6%26.5%4.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Qatar SC

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Qatar SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Qatar SCDDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al Bidda SCLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Qatar SCAl Bidda SC
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
1.93xG1.20
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